Melbourne Renegades are favorites to win
Melbourne Renegades and Sydney Thunder will both want to keep their play-off ambitions on track when they meet at Melbourne's Marvel Stadium in the 2018/19 Big Bash League. The match is scheduled for January 30 and the live action begins at 19:15 local time.
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Melbourne Renegades have won the Bat Flip in three of their four matches at the Marvel Stadium this season. They have elected to field first every time.
Read on for team previews, betting tips, latest odds and match prediction for Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Thunder, Big Bash League 2018-19.
Personnel-wise, the Renegades have been unchanged for the last two matches, with Marcus Harris absent on test duty. Cameron Boyce opened the batting against Sydney Thunder but lasted two balls, while Mackenzie Harvey top-scored there last time out - and so it is the latter likely to partner Aaron Finch against the Thunder this time. Chris Tremain has also come into the team for those two matches and excelled with the ball in the win against Perth Scorchers.
Cameron White retired hurt with a hamstring injury, however, and Beau Webster appears to be next in line to replace him having been one of the two unused members of the 13-man squad for the Scorchers game.
Aaron Finch's half-century the last time these two teams met was his 53rd in T20 cricket (in addition to six centuries) and his test absence is a huge boost to the Renegades.
Finch's half-century was only the second by a Renegades batsman in this year's Big Bash League, with Sam Harper leading the way having scored the other. Harper has hit 269 runs in total from his 12 innings. The only other Gades batsman to pass 200 runs this season is Tom Cooper, who has quietly gone to 219 from his 12 innings, without yet passing 50.
With that in mind, it is little surprise to note the Renegades have their bowlers to thank for a lot of their success so far. That includes Kane Richardson, the top wicket-taker in the tournament so far this season. Richardson took 1-6 from three overs last time out, conceding just three run-scoring shots, to move to 19 wickets for the season.
Chris Tremain had set the tone, meanwhile, in just his second game of the season. He took 3-9 from his four overs, dismissing Cameron Bancroft and the Marsh brothers to leave the Scorchers 12-4 from the power play.
Dan Christian took four wickets, meanwhile, to move to 11 for the tournament so far - it was his sixth T20 four-fer. Last time these teams met, Harry Gurney was named man of the match for his 2-27 from his four overs.
Melbourne Renegades have now won five of their last seven games following the thumping win against Perth Scorchers. It also made it back-to-back wins since being bowled out for 121 in the Victoria derby against Melbourne Stars - the Stars winning by six wickets in the final over.
Melbourne Renegades bounced back against Sydney Thunder, however. Aaron Finch - who also top-scored when the Renegades beat Hobart Hurricanes to start this run of form - scored 54 in a total of 152/9. In reply, Kane Richardson and Harry Gurney both claimed two wickets and slowed the Thunder sufficiently to win by 12 runs.
Last time out, the Renegades had posted 157/5, with Mackenzie Harvey (38) and Sam Harper (37) leading the way. Chris Tremain (3-9), Kane Richardson (1-6), Dan Christian (4-20) and Cameron Boyce (2-16) then ripped through the Perth Scorchers batting line-up to dismiss them for just 79.
Mackenzie Harvey, Aaron Finch, Sam Harper, Tom Cooper, Mohammad Nabi, Dan Christian, Beau Webster, Cameron Boyce, Chris Tremain, Kane Richardson, Harry Gurney
Teenager Matthew Gilkes made his T20 debut for Sydney Thunder last time out in one of two changes from the defeat to Melbourne Renegades. The 19-year-old marked it with a half-century and could therefore continue as wicket-keeper in place of Jay Lenton. The other change saw a wicket-taking return for Nathan McAndrew in place of Arjun Nair.
Callum Ferguson scored 52 the last time these teams met and followed it up with the second T20 century of his career as he blasted eight sixes and eight fours in his unbeaten 113 from 53 balls in the six-wicket win against Perth Scorchers.
Matthew Gilkes shared a 120-run partnership with Ferguson on his Big Bash debut last time out, scoring 51 from 38 balls to suggest he has a bright future ahead too.
Ferguson's century was the Thunder's second of the season - Shane Watson also hit 100 off 62 balls against Brisbane Heat and has 297 runs from his 11 innings, compared to Ferguson's 341. No other batsmen have scored a century for any team in this year's competition.
With the ball, Daniel Sams took 3-29 when these teams last met and he has 14 for the season so far, while Gurinder Sandhu also claimed three against the Renegades and took his eighth of the tournament in the win against Perth Scorchers.
Sydney Thunder have won two of their last four matches and that record should really read three from four, had it not been for a power failure costing them against Brisbane Heat. Shane Watson had scored 100 from 62 balls in a total of 186/4 and the Heat were 10/2 from three overs when the lights went out.
That game was followed by the defeat to the Renegades, when Callum Ferguson and Jason Sangha both hit half-centuries but they paid for falling behind the run rate - only reaching 140/5 in reply to 152/9.
Sydney Thunder bounced back last time out, however, thanks to some superb hitting from Ferguson. He scored an unbeaten 113 and shared a 120-run second wicket partnership with debutant Matthew Gilkes (51) as the Thunder chased 182 to win by six wickets in the final over.
Shane Watson, Matthew Gilkes, Callum Ferguson, Anton Devcich, Jason Sangha, Daniel Sams, Chris Jordan, Chris Green, Nathan McAndrew, Gurinder Sandhu, Fawad Ahmed
Following Melbourne Renegades 12-run win against Sydney Thunder little more than a week ago, the Renegades have now won seven of their eight previous meetings - including the last five in a row.
They met just once last season, as Kane Richardson took 4-22 to help bowl the Thunder out for 180, in reply to 189/6; Marcus Harris earlier top-scored with 64 for the Renegades.
Aaron Finch was the Renegades' key batsman this season, meanwhile. He scored 54 to lift the Renegades to 152/9. Jason Sangh scored the same for the Thunder, but from 11 more balls, and that proved costly as they could only reach 140/5 in reply.
Melbourne Renegades are back in top form and have a great record in this fixture. They are a best price of 1.80 with Betfair to beat Sydney Thunder, while Bet365 are offering 1.72. Sydney Thunder are 2.10 to win with Bet365.
Aaron Finch top-scored for the Renegades when these teams last met and his return is undoubtedly a huge boost. He is 3.30 with Betfair to be their top batsman, while top run-scorer Sam Harper is 4.50 with Bet365.
The Gades' success has been built around their bowling, however. Kane Richardson is 3.75 with Betfair to be their top bowler against Sydney Thunder.
For the Thunder, they do at least have Callum Ferguson in superb form with the bat. He is 3.60 with Betfair to top score for them in this match.
Perth Scorchers have their star men back and can take full advantage as a result, against a Sydney Thunder side who have fell away after a bright start to the tournament.
Final Verdict: Back Melbourne Renegades to beat Sydney Thunder at 1.80 with Betfair and 1.72 with Bet365.
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