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India vs New Zealand 1st ODI Prediction

India IND
New Zealand NZ

IND vs NZ Betting Tips

  • New Zealand received a 0-3 drubbing at the hands of India in the test series.
  • India are more familiar with the conditions than the Kiwis who will be playing their first ODI at this ground.
  • New Zealand are a better side in ODIs and Tim Southee's return will add more bite in their bowling.

IND vs NZ Win Probability

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IND NZ

Our Prediction

India to start as favourites

Hosts to Carry their Test Form into the First ODI

New Zealand were completely dominated by India in the test series and they will now be hoping for a turnaround of fortunes with the commencement of the limited-overs leg of the tour. The first of the five-match one-day international series is set to be played on October 16 at the Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharmasala. Live action will begin at 1:30 PM local time.

Read on for our betting tips and match prediction for India vs New Zealand 1st ODI.... 

Venue and Toss

HPCA Stadium has seen only two ODIs till date which leaves us with very limited amount of stat to work with. India scored 330 in the first innings of the second ODI here and won that match comfortably. In the match before, they made 226 which was easily chased down by England. So the team that bats first will look to get to at least 280. 

Faster bowlers are expected to be more effective at this ground. Nine wickets were taken by the seamers and five by the spinners in the last match.

If New Zealand bat first and score in excess of 280, it will be quite a challenge for the strong Indian batting lineup to chase this total under lights.

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India Team News & Playing 11

If IND Bat First

Predicted Score: Around 300

Ajinkya Rahane, Virat Kohli and Suresh Raina will be the pillars of the Indian batting. Rahane is scoring on a consistent basis and he made a fifty in the only game he played at this ground. Raina has fifties in each of the two games here and Kohli had smashed 127 against the West Indies. So these three are going to be the key in India's quest for 300.

The Indian batsmen will look to be watchful against Tim Southee whose return will bolster New Zealand's bowling attack. He is their strike bowler and since he has plenty of experience playing in Indian conditions, he could be their top bowler in this match. Matt Henry took the most wickets in the Chappell-Hadlee Trophy in February and was also impressive in the test series as well. These two will be New Zealand's best bets for restricting India to below 300.

IND vs NZ Prediction
India vs New Zealand Match Prediction

New Zealand Team News & Playing 11

If NZ Bat First

Predicted Score: Around 270

Martin Guptill's return to form will be a huge positive for the Kiwi batting. He scored some valuable runs in the last test and he becomes a better batsman in limited-overs cricket. He was the highest run-getter in the Chappell-Hadlee Trophy and he has a good chance of top-scoring here as well. Kane Williamson and Corey Anderson are two others who can change the course of the game single-handedly. New Zealand should get to the predicted score if these three show some good form.

The visitors will be feeling a lot more relaxed as India's ace spinner Ravichandran Ashwin has been rested for this series. But there will be Jasprit Bumrah in the side who will be backed by his team to go for the wickets. The pacer has notched up 11 scalps in 4 ODIs and we expect him to continue the good work and be the top bowler for India. If he runs through the top-order early on, New Zealand might struggle to reach even 250. 

IND vs NZ Head-to-Head in ODIs

93 ODIs have been played between these two teams of which 46 have been won by India and 41 by New Zealand. One of these games have ended in a tie while five did not produce a result. The last time New Zealand toured India for a 5-match bilateral ODI series in 2010/11, they lost all the games resulting in a humiliating 5-0 whitewash.

India vs New Zealand Betting Odds

India are starting the ODI series as hot favorites and their allround performance in the tests make them a good value at 1.48 with 1xbet and 1.44 with bet365. Though New Zealand's chances will be much higher in the 50-overs format, they will still start out as outsiders for the first one-dayer at 2.98 with betfair and 2.75 with bet365.

Our Prediction

New Zealand were outclassed by India in the test series in every department - batting, bowling and even fielding. Some of the Kiwi batsmen did manage to put up a good resistance, but it was not enough to avert a 3-0 clean sweep. India, a side that relies heavily on its spinners in these conditions, also did well in the pace department.

The visitors have not played a one-day game at the HPCA before. They have only played one World T20 match here which they won against Australia. The hosts have played two ODIs at this ground, losing the first one to England and winning the next against the West Indies. So India will have the advantage of being familiar with the ground conditions beforehand.

It is true that the shorter the format of the game, the narrower the gap between two teams becomes. But looking at the way India dominated New Zealand in the tests, we predict them to start the ODI series with a win.

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