Australia are favourites to win
New Zealand had won the 3-match Chappell-Hadlee Trophy 2-1 at home in February this year. The tournament returns this time on Australian soil and the hosts will look to reclaim the trophy. The first of the three-match ODI series will be played on December 4 at the Sydney Cricket Ground. This day/night fixture is scheduled to commence at 3:20 PM local time.
Read on for team previews, betting tips and match prediction for Australia vs New Zealand 1st one-day international....
The SCG is one of the most of high-scoring grounds in Australia. Four of the last six first-innings scores have exceeded 325 and in spite of this, the side batting second has emerged winner in seven of the previous ten completed ODIs here. No total, therefore, can be deemed as safe at this ground and so it shouldn't come as a surprise if the toss-winning captain decides to chase. Four of Australia's past six wins here have come while chasing. So we strongly recommend betting on the hosts if they bat second.
Rookies Daniel Worrall, Chris Tremain and Joe Mennie have been left out. Even the consistent John Hastings has also been dropped. Seasoned campaigners Mitchell Starc, James Faulkner and Josh Hazlewood return to the side while Pat Cummins, Hilton Cartwright and Glenn Maxwell have also earned a call-up.
David Warner is the man in form for Australia with the bat. He averages over 57 at this ground and has scored 572 runs in 11 innings here including two hundreds and four fifties. We predict him to top-score for his team. Since the wicket is expected to be a pacer's paradise, Mitchell Starc and Josh Hazlewood are likely to cause problems for the Kiwi batsmen.
Australia recently suffered a 0-5 humiliating ODI series defeat at the hands of South Africa on the latter's turf. However, they did win seven out of eight ODIs prior to this series. They have also been very impressive at the SCG of late, losing just one of their past ten matches.
Steve Smith (c), David Warner, Aaron Finch, George Bailey, Matthew Wade (wk), Adam Zampa, Mitchell Starc, Josh Hazlewood, James Faulkner, Travis Head and Mitchell Marsh.
Ross Taylor, Corey Anderson, Mitchell McClenagahan and Adam Milne are all unfit and won't be available for this tour. Wicket-keeper Luke Ronchi has been sidelined and BJ Watling is set to replace him. All-rounder Colin Munro makes a comeback to the squad and Todd Astle is the preferred leg-spinner over Ish Sodhi. Colin de Grandhomme and uncapped pacer Lockie Ferguson have also been drafted in.
Skipper Kane Williamson forms the main pillar in New Zealand's batting lineup. He has scored the most runs for his side in four of his previous nine ODIs and we predict him to be the Kiwi top-scorer in this match. Bowling will rely largely on Tim Southee and Trent Boult and these two are expected to be the most threatening of the lot.
New Zealand played their most recent ODI series in India and though they gave the hosts a good run for their money, they could not prevent a 2-3 series loss. They have done well in this format this year with seven wins from eleven completed games but they haven’t won an ODI at the SCG since 2003.
Kane Williamson (c), Colin Munro, Todd Astle, BJ Watling (wk), Henry Nicholls, Martin Guptill, Tim Southee, Trent Boult, Tom Latham, Mitchell Santner and James Neesham.
Australia boast a superior record over New Zealand in terms of head-to-head stats. Out of the 130 ODIs played between the two teams, the hosts have won 87 - a remarkable win percentage of 70.16. The tourists have won 37 of them and the rest did not produce a result. They have met 21 times at this ground and Australia have emerged winners on 13 occasions.
With allrounder James Faulkner and speedsters Mitchell Starc and Josh Hazlewood back in the side, Australia start as definite favorites to win the first one-day international at 1.47 with betfair and 1.44 with bet365. Betfair has New Zealand up at 3 while bet365 has them at 2.75. They may seem attractive bets at first, but one should not forget that they have won only 7 out of the 28 ODIs at this ground. Plus, they will be devoid of key players in Ross Taylor, Corey Anderson and Mitchell McClenagahan which will hand Australia a certain advantage.
Australia have been down and out in the 50-overs format lately. They had a disastrous tour of South Africa where they received a 0-5 bashing. However, it should not be overlooked that they were playing with a second-string bowling attack. And now that their ace bowlers have returned, the Aussies are looking mighty once again. They have a phenomenal record at the SCG with 83 wins from 127 matches.
New Zealand might gain confidence from the fact they beat Australia in the Chappell-Hadlee series at the start of this year. But then again, it was played in the former's territory and now with some of their main players out due to injury, beating a full-strength Aussie side on their soil should be more than a challenge.
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