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Sri Lanka vs Australia 5th ODI Prediction

Sri Lanka SL
Australia AUS

SL vs AUS Betting Tips

  • Australia have won back-to-back matches and a resounding victory in the last match will make the Lankan shoulders drop.
  • Sri Lanka have won their last three ODIs at this ground, but were beaten here in their only match-up against Australia.
  • Australia have never gone on to win more than three games in a 5-match bilateral ODI series in Sri Lanka.

SL vs AUS Win Probability

info The "Chance of Winning" Widget shows winning percentage depending upon live betting odds of teams participating in the match. The winning percentage is changed immediately when odds are updated.
SL AUS

Our Prediction

Australia are favourites to win

Can Sri Lanka Finish the Series Off on a High?

Australia cruised to a six-wicket win over Sri Lanka in the fourth one-day international at Dambulla and sealed the 5-match series acquiring a lead of 3-1. The hosts batted first and were bowled out for a modest 212 and the visitors chased it down without breaking a sweat. With just one more to play in the series, Sri Lanka would like to reduce the margin of series defeat and finish off on a high ahead of the T20 series. The fifth and the final ODI will be played at the Pallekele International Cricket Stadium on September 4. Match is scheduled to begin at 2:30 PM local time.

Read on for our betting tips and match prediction for Sri Lanka vs Australia fifth one-day international...  

Venue and Toss

287, 292, 239, 267, 238, 223, 302, 250 are the scores made by the teams batting first in the last 8 ODIs at Pallekele which saw the full 50 overs bowled in the first innings. The wicket has been variable and on Sunday, it could have something in it for both the batsmen and the bowlers.

7 of the last 10 matches at this venue have been won by the side batting second. Since the team that bats second gets a slight advantage in case overs are reduced due to rain delays, the toss-winning team may want to field first here.

Australia have batted second in all the four matches in this series, and so they will have a good chance of winning this match if they win the toss and bat second again.

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Sri Lanka Team News & Playing 11

If SL Bat First

Predicted Score: Around 250

They are going to need some good scores from the likes of Chandimal, Mathews and Kusal Mendis if they are to reach the predicted score. Chandimal is their leading run-scorer and is averaging 78.33 in the series. Though he got a rare failure the other day, chances of him to top-score for his side are the most. Both Mendis and Mathews have played two decent knocks each so far and the hosts will want them to bat well on Sunday.

Australia have been spot on with the ball with Faulkner, Starc and Zampa all in top form. Faulkner and Starc are the joint leading wicket-takers with nine wickets each and they look to be the most threatening among the seamers. John Hastings starred in the last game picking up six wickets, but Zampa is expected to finish with the best bowling figures in the next match. If Australia get rid of Chandimal, Mendis and Mathews early, Sri Lanka may not reach 250.

SL vs AUS Prediction
Sri Lanka vs Australia Match Prediction

Australia Team News & Playing 11

If AUS Bat First

Predicted Score: Around 270

Warner is still struggling in these conditions and he isn't expected to make much of an impact in the final game either. Khawaja played his first game of the series and as was expected, did not trouble the scorers. This leaves Finch, Bailey, Head and Wade as Australia's best men to take the total to around 270. All four of them have shown good batting skills and have handled spin very well in this series. With 70 and 90 in his last two innings, we expect Bailey to top-score for Australia again.

As always, Sri Lanka are going rely on their spinners to take wickets and apply pressure on the Australian batsmen. Amila Aponso and Dilruwan Perera - their best spinners in the series - will be the key in their bowling attack. Sachith Pathirana impressed the selectors by taking three quick wickets in his first game of the series. However, Thisara Perera who has excellent figures of 6/44 at this ground should be backed for the top bowler.

SL vs AUS Head-to-Head in ODIs

This is the third consecutive time that Australia have won a 5-match bilateral ODI series in Sri Lanka against the hosts. The last two series back in 2003/04 and 2011 were both won by a margin of 3-2.

Australia have been up against Sri Lanka just once at the Pallekele International Cricket Stadium. Their only match-up here was played during the 2011 tour which Australia won easily by seven wickets.

Our Prediction

Sri Lanka have played a total of 15 ODIs at this ground, winning nine and losing six of them with a win percentage of 60 which isn't bad. They have been victorious in their last three 50-over outings here and all these wins have come against tough oppositions - England, Pakistan and West Indies. Moreover, a point worth noting is that Australia have never won more than three games in a 5-match bilateral ODI series against Sri Lanka on Lankan soil. So Australia will be up against history and this should keep the Lankan fans interested.

Having said this, Sri Lanka have been disappointing with their batting performance while Australia seems to have found a way to bat in these conditions. The visitors have also been better with the ball and the top four bowlers in this series are all from their side. Plus, Angelo Mathews has suffered a calf injury and it is not known whether he will be fit by Sunday.

Australia have beaten Sri Lanka at Pallekele once before, and the way they are going about their business, we feel that they are favorites to win this final game of the series.

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