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Sri Lanka vs Australia 3rd Test Prediction

Sri Lanka SL
Australia AUS

SL vs AUS Betting Tips

  • Sri Lanka have beaten Australia in the first two tests and have outplayed them in every department of the game.
  • Australia have never been defeated by Sri Lanka in test match cricket at Colombo before.
  • Sri Lanka's spin bowlers are in top form while Australia's batsmen are having a rough time in these conditions.

SL vs AUS Win Probability

info The "Chance of Winning" Widget shows winning percentage depending upon live betting odds of teams participating in the match. The winning percentage is changed immediately when odds are updated.
SL AUS

Our Prediction

Sri Lanka are favourites to win

Can Australia Prevent a 3-0 Whitewash by Sri Lanka?

Sri Lanka were absolutely clinical in the second test, beating Australia by a huge margin of 229 runs. The hosts have now taken an unassailable 2-0 lead in the 3-match series and have clinched the Warne-Muralitharan trophy. The third and the final test begins from August 13 at the Sinhalese Sports Club Ground, Colombo as the visitors still search for a way to tackle the Sri Lankan spinners on these turning tracks. The series defeat has left the Aussies in danger of losing their no. 1 test ranking to either India, England or Pakistan. The third test match is scheduled to begin at 10 AM local time.

Read on for our betting tips and match prediction for Sri Lanka vs Australia 3rd Test...  

Venue and Toss

There hasn't been a single first-innings score below 300 in the last 8 tests at the Sinhalese Sports Club Ground. 400+ have been achieved four times which includes the 551 by Pakistan in 2012 and 642 by Sri Lanka in 2010. Another great batting surface is likely to be on the cards and the wicket is expected to become slower and offer more turn to the spinners as the match progresses.

The last four matches here that have produced results have all been won the side batting first. So the toss-winning captain may as well want to make first use of the ideal batting conditions.

If Sri Lanka win the toss and post a big total in the first innings, their spinners will get an excellent opportunity to put pressure on the Australian batsmen who would then have to bat out of their skins to avert a 3-0 whitewash.

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Sri Lanka Team News & Playing 11

If SL Bat First

Predicted Score: Around 350

They had high hopes on Mathews and Chandimal going into this series. Chandimal hasn't done much and has contributed only once so far. Mathews failed in the first test but came back with 54 and 47 in each innings of the second test. Kusal Mendis is their leading run-scorer and he will be the key at the top. Sri Lanka are going to need Chandimal to click along with Mendis, Perera and Mathews if they are to reach 350.

The Sri Lankan top-order has been vulnerable against Mitchell Starc who has been the spearhead of the Australian pace attack. The fast bowler has taken wickets each time he is given the ball and skipper Smith will be backing him yet again to run through Sri Lanka's top-order. Though Nathan Lyon hasn't been as much effective as the Lankan spinners, he is still going to be of great value to Australia on these turning tracks. The off-spinner has picked up at least a couple of wickets in each innings and he will have to be at his best to stop Sri Lanka from reaching the predicted score.
 

SL vs AUS Prediction
Sri Lanka vs Australia Match Prediction

Australia Team News & Playing 11

If AUS Bat First

Predicted Score: Around 300

Joe Burns and Usman Khawaja are struggling in these conditions which means there will be more pressure on Warner and Smith to perform. Warner scored in 40's in both the innings of the last test while Smith has contributed thrice in four innings. Voges and Marsh have got starts in this series but they haven't been able to convert them into big ones. Australia will be relying the most on Warner, Smith, Voges and Marsh to take them to the predicted score.

Once again, the Aussie batsmen will be put to the test by the Lankan spinners who have been successful in choking them each time. Of the 40 wickets taken by the Sri Lankan bowlers, 36 belong to the spinners. Again, majority of the wickets are likely to be shared between Herath, Dilruwan Perera and Sandakan. Herath is looking the most dangerous of the three and he could pick up the most wickets in the third test. If Australia are unable to counter the spin attack, they could be bundled out for less than 200 again.

SL vs AUS Head-to-Head Record

Sri Lanka and Australia have gone head-to-head in 15 tests on the former's home turf. The hosts have only three wins in these matches while the visitors have six wins. The remaining six all ended in draw.

Till now, the two teams have played a total of four test matches at the Sinhalese Sports Club Ground with Australia winning on two occasions and two matches resulting in draw.

Our Prediction

One thing that might work in favor of Australia is that they have never been beaten by Sri Lanka in tests at Colombo. They also boast a stronger overall test record against the home team and prior to this series, Sri Lanka only had one win in the 13 tests played between them at home. But though the Aussies have done well in the past, they have been struggling in the sub-continent conditions in recent years. And this has been largely due to their inability to handle spin which can be seen in the ongoing series where their spin woes have come back to haunt them again.

So can Australia prevent a 3-0 whitewash? Well, maybe. But only if their batsmen are able to stave off the Sri Lankan spin threat. However, looking at how the hosts have gone about their business in the last couple of games, we predict them to come out on top in the third test as well and wrap up the series 3-nil.

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