Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Challenger Prediction

  • Feb 06, 2020
  • 14:10:00, GMT +5:30
  • Melbourne Cricket Ground - Melbourne, Australia
Melbourne Stars MLS Melbourne Stars
Sydney Thunder SYT Sydney Thunder

Betting Tips

  • Melbourne Stars and Sydney Thunder go head-to-head at the MCG for a place alongside Sydney Sixers in the 2019-20 Big Bash League Final.
  • Melbourne Stars topped the league table but their form has abandoned them of late - they were bowled out for 99 in their first play-off to make it four defeats in a row.
  • Sydney Thunder, meanwhile, have already had to win two play-off matches to get to this point and Alex Hales' batting form gives them momentum that could prove hugely valuable.
Sydney Thunder

Our Pick Sydney Thunder are favorites to win.

Posted On 5th February 2020 11:34:44
Posted by Joy

 Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Match Prediction, BBL

Sydney Sixers await the winners of Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder, as the two teams meet in the Big Bash League 2019-20 Challenger play-off – effectively the semi-final – at the Melbourne Cricket Ground. The match takes place on February 6 and is set to stat at 19:40 local time.

Melbourne Stars were the top team in the league phase of the tournament, winning ten of their first 11 matches. They topped the table despite losing their last three matches, but their lack of momentum continued when they were bowled out for 99 in the Qualifier – missing their first shot at reaching this year’s final as a result.

Sydney Thunder, on the other hand, only just sneaked into the play-offs but arrive at this match in good form. They have won two play-off matches to get this far already and boast Alex Hales in fine batting form as well as this season’s top BBL wicket-taker, Daniel Sams. With the momentum in their favour, they could set up a Sydney Derby in the final.

Live streaming MLS vs SYT

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Toss Prediction

Last time out at the MCG, the Stars won the toss and elected to field first. It could still be a winning tactic, but the Thunder have been in good form batting first recently.

Weather Report

A sunny day makes way for a cloudy evening in Melbourne but conditions should otherwise be warm and with only a very minimal chance of rain.

Pitch Condition

The MCG has had something for everyone so far, neither leaning strongly to the batsmen or the bowlers.

Read on for team previews, betting tips, latest odds and match prediction for Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder, Challenger, BBL.

Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder

Melbourne Stars Team News & Playing 11

MLS Team News

Sandeep Lamichhane is on international duty with Nepal, but Haris Rauf – one of three Stars named in the team of the season – returned last time out. Hilton Cartwright has been out injured with a fractured hand.

MLS Key Players

Marcus Stoinis: Named Player of the Tournament, having scored 612 runs – including five half-centuries and a BBL record-breaking 147*. He also took a wicket in his first over of the tournament last time out.

Glenn Maxwell: Picked up another wicket last time out and has been in good form with the bat previously too – enough to earn a recall to Australia’s T20i squad, anyway, and be named in the team of the tournament.

Adam Zampa: Followed up his 3-27 against Brisbane Heat with 3-21 against Sydney Sixers. The team might not have played well on his return from international duty but the spinner is at least thriving.

MLS Team Form

Melbourne Stars have now lost their last four matches in a row, including two miserable batting performances in their last two matches. Despite topping the table after some fine form early on, they folded for 115 against Brisbane Heat at the end of the round-robin phase and then posted just 99 last time out against Sydney Sixers.

Melbourne Stars Predicted Playing 11

Nic Maddinson, Marcus Stoinis, Nick Larkin, Glenn Maxwell (c), Peter Handscomb, Seb Gotch (wk), Nathan Coulter-Nile, Clinton Hinchcliffe, Adam Zampa, Dan Worrall, Haris Rauf

Sydney Thunder Team News & Playing 11

SYT Team News

Gurinder Sandhu has been ruled out of the remainder of the tournament due to injury, but Sydney Thunder have been unchanged without him for their two play-off wins so far. They could well stick with that same winning XI again.

SYT Key Players

Alex Hales: The big-hitting Englishman has hit form at the perfect time, dominating with the bat with four half-centuries and a 47 in his last five innings. He has now scored 568 runs in 16 innings, with a strike rate of 147.91.

Daniel Sams: Took 3-26 in the win against Adelaide Strikers and he now has 30 wickets in total in this year’s tournament. He also passed 50 wickets in T20 cricket last time out, in his 35th innings in the format.

Chris Morris: Moved to 20 wickets for the tournament last time out as he claimed 2-22 to follow up his 3-27 in the first play-off against Hobart. He also scored a useful 21 with the bat.

SYT Team Form

Sydney Thunder have now won their last three BBL 2019-20 matches in a row, including two play-off matches to reach this Challenger match. Alex Hales hit 60 in a total of 197/5 in their first play-off match, before Jonathan Cook (4-21) and Chris Morris (3-27) helped bowl Hobart out for 140.

That set up a place in the Knockout to face Adelaide Strikers, where Hales hit 59 in a total of 151/7, and Daniel Sams (3-26) and Morris (2-22) starred with the ball to seal an eight-run win.

Sydney Thunder Predicted Playing 11

Alex Hales, Usman Khawaja, Callum Ferguson (c), Daniel Sams, Alex Ross, Chris Morris, Arjun Nair, Jay Lenton (wk), Chris Tremain, Brendan Doggett, Jonathan Cook

Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Team Form in Last Five Matches



MLS vs SYT Head to Head

Melbourne Stars won both matches between these two teams this season, taking them to six in 12 matches and an equal record overall. Haris Rauf took 3-24 and Marcus Stoinis and Nick Larkin hit half-centuries as the Stars chased 143 to win the first by three wickets. Then, next up, Rauf took 3-23 and Stoinis and Glenn Maxwell scored the half-centuries as the Stars reached 148/4 in 17.5 overs to win by six wickets.

MLS vs SYT Head to Head Stats

Matches Played MLS Won SYT Won Tie No Result
12 6 6 0 0

Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Betting Odds

Melbourne Stars beat Sydney Thunder twice in the group and are favourites as a result, but the form tables have switched completely since then and the Thunder could upset those odds.

MLS Bet365 Odds

  • MLS to Win the Match: Melbourne Stars are 1.75 favourites to win with Bet365.
  • MLS Top Batsman: Marcus Stoinis has been named Player of the Tournament and he is 3.25 favourite with Bet365 to be the Stars’ top batsman again. Glenn Maxwell is 4.00 and Nick Larkin is 5.00 – both men having hit half-centuries against the Thunder already this season. Nic Maddinson and Peter Handscomb can both be backed at 5.50.
  • MLS Top Bowler: Haris Rauf took three wickets in each of the Stars’ two wins against Sydney Thunder and he is now 3.50 to be their top team bowler again with Bet365. Adam Zampa has three wickets in each of the Stars’ last two matches, meanwhile, and he can be backed at 4.00. Nathan Coulter-Nile is 5.00 and Clinton Hinchcliffe 5.50.

SYT Bet365 Odds

  • SYT to Win the Match: Sydney Thunder are 2.15 to win with Bet365.
  • SYT Top Batsman: Alex Hales’ batting has been central to their resurgent form and he is 3.25 favourite to be their top team batsman with Bet365. Usman Khawaja is 4.00 and Callum Ferguson can be backed at the same price.
  • SYT Top Bowler: Daniel Sams now has 30 wickets for the season and he can be backed at 3.25 to be Sydney Thunder’s top team bowler with Bet365. Chris Morris is 4.00, meanwhile, having taken 20 wickets so far including five in the last two matches.

MLS Betway Odds

  • MLS to Win the Match: Melbourne Stars are 1.72 favourites to win with Betway.
  • MLS Top Batsman: Marcus Stoinis is also 3.25 with Betway to be the Stars’ top team batsman, while Glenn Maxwell can be backed at 4.33 and Nick Larkin and Peter Handscomb are both 5.50. Nic Maddinson is 6.50, having opened again in recent matches.
  • MLS Top Bowler: Haris Rauf is a generous 4.33 to be the Stars’ top team bowler with Betway and Adam Zampa can be backed at another generous price of 4.50 with Betway. Nathan Coulter-Nile is 5.00 and Clinton Hinchcliffe is as high as 6.50.

SYT Betway Odds

  • SYT to Win the Match: Sydney Thunder are 2.05 to win with Betway.
  • SYT Top Batsman: Alex Hales is 3.50 with Betway to be Sydney Thunder’s top team batsman, ahead of Usman Khawaja – who is 4.00 with Betway – and Callum Ferguson, who can be backed at 4.33. 
  • SYT Top Bowler: Daniel Sams is now 3.50 with Betway to be Sydney Thunder’s top team bowler, whereas Chris Morris can be backed at 4.33. Both have been in excellent form this season, with 50 wickets between them. Jonathan Cook took four at the start of the play-offs, meanwhile, and he is 5.50.

Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Prediction

Melbourne Stars’ form has dipped, whereas Sydney Thunder have the momentum behind them. They could upset the odds in this game.

Final Verdict

Back Sydney Thunder to beat Melbourne Stars at 2.15 with Bet365 and 2.05 with Betway.

MLS vs SYT Dream11 Prediction


Peter Handscomb is the most expensive of the four wicket-keepers and also the most likely to make an impact on the game with the bat. That he still only costs 8.5 credits is an added bonus. 


The two top batsman in this year’s tournament go head-to-head in this game and both Marcus Stoinis, at 11 credits, and Alex Hales, at ten credits, have to be selected. Callum Ferguson, Usman Khawaja and Alex Ross have also scored well, but it may be more prudent to opt for Nic Maddinson – he has opened for the Stars and yet is just eight credits.


Saving those credits leaves plenty in the bank for the all-rounders, where Daniel Sams and Chris Morris – at ten and 9.5 credits respectively – are in superb wicket-taking form for the Thunder and are must-picks as a result. Glenn Maxwell is in excellent form too, but at 11 credits – with Stoinis, Hales, Sams and Morris already picked – he may prove too much. Instead, Arjun Nair and Nathan Coulter-Nile are credit-saving options at 8.5 credits apiece.


If you do overlook Maxwell, you can afford Haris Rauf and Adam Zampa instead – the Stars’ two main bowlers, who have both been in good form this season. It leaves eight credits and Clint Hinchcliffe costs that much, as does Jonathan Cook – who took four wickets in the first play-off match.


Marcus Stoinis was named Player of the Tournament but the in-form batsman at the moment is Sydney Thunder’s Alex Hales – who could still outscore Stoinis overall, particularly if he continues his run of crucial half-centuries. There may be a better option than Hales for captain, however, with Daniel Sams now boasting 30 wickets to his name this season. Chris Morris has 20, meanwhile, and is another alternative to consider. 

MLS vs SYT Dream11 Team

Marcus Stoinis Nathan Coulter-Nile Peter Handscomb Haris Rauf
Nic Maddinson Arjun Nair   Adam Zampa
Alex Hales (vc) Chris Morris   Jonathan Cook
  Daniel Sams (c)    

Who will win MLS vs SYT?


Bet on Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Match


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