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England vs Sri Lanka 3rd Test Preview & Prediction

England ENG
Sri Lanka SL

ENG vs SL Betting Tips

  • England's bowling is looking threatening with Anderson and Broad both in terrific form.
  • Sri Lanka put up a good show with the bat in the last match but they will have to do better with the ball.
  • England have been doing well in test cricket lately and they are a tough side to beat on their turf.

ENG vs SL Win Probability

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ENG SL

Our Prediction

England are favourites to win

England have taken an unassailable 2-0 lead in the 3-match test series, beating Sri Lanka by nine wickets in the second test at the Riverside Ground. They will now head to the iconic Lord's in London to play the third and the final match of the Investec Test Series 2016 against the Lankans. The visitors had showed signs of determination in the second innings of the previous test and will look to carry that performance into this match. The hosts, on the other hand, will have a 3-0 clean sweep on their mind. The 3rd test will be played on the 9th of June with live action scheduled to begin at 11 AM local time.

Read on for our betting tips and match prediction on England vs Sri Lanka 2016 3rd Test...  

Venue and Toss

The last five first-innings scores at Lord's (the most recent first) have been 566, 389, 295, 575 and 361. This is sufficient to indicate that the pitch here has been good for batting in recent times, especially in the first innings. And considering Sri Lanka's good batting display in the previous game, a first-innings total of around 350-400 can be expected.

In the last 7 seven tests played at this ground, 6 have been won by the side that has opted to bat first after winning the toss, while one of them ended in a draw. Also, the margins of these defeats have been very big. England had suffered a loss here against Australia by a whopping 405 runs last year in July, which is the biggest test defeat ever recorded in the history of Lord's. So the team that wins the toss on Thursday will want to put up runs first.

Sri Lanka already have their work cut out, and it will get all the more difficult for them to win the match if England win the toss.

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England Team News & Playing 11

If England Bat First

Predicted Score: 400+

Bairstow and Hales have been impressive with the bat for England and are currently among the leading run-scorers in this test series. Skipper Cook returned to form with an unbeaten 47 in the second test and has become the first English batsman to reach 10,000 runs in test cricket. Joe Root also had a good knock of 80 and with Moeen Ali down the order, England boast a strong and a deep batting lineup. If they bat to their potential, the hosts should be able to cross the 400 mark.

Nuwan Pradeep has been the pick of the Sri Lankan bowlers. The fast bowler notched up 4 wickets in the second test and has taken 5 overall. Dushmantha Chameera bowled well to take three English scalps in the first test, but has been ruled out of the series due to injury. Left-arm pacer Chaminda Bandara has been announced as his replacement and he will be making his debut on Thursday. Spinners Siriwardana and Herath have taken 3 wickets each so far. Sri Lanka will have to take early wickets if they are to put pressure on England and bowl them out for under 400.

ENG vs SL Prediction
England vs Sri Lanka Match Prediction

Sri Lanka Team News & Playing 11

If Sri Lanka Bat First

Predicted Score: 300+

They suffered a batting collapse in their first three innings of the series, but finally had something to cheer about when they amassed 475 runs in their fourth one. Chandimal and skipper Mathews have scored the most runs for their side so far in this series. The two along with Thirimanne are the most experienced batsmen in their lineup and they will need to bat well if Sri Lanka are to post a total in excess of 300. Kaushal Silva and Herath's half-centuries will inject more confidence in the side ahead of the final test.

England have been outstanding in the pace bowling department with spearheads Anderson and Broad wreaking havoc on the Sri Lankan batting lineup. The former has taken 18 wickets already with a 5-wicket haul in three innings each to become the top-ranked bowler in tests. Broad has taken 10 wickets with 5 in each match. Woakes was also impressive with 5 wickets in the second test, but England will expect more from Finn and Ali. If the two speedsters Anderson and Broad run through Sri Lanka again, it will get extremely difficult for the visitors to muster a score of around 300.

Our Prediction

Sri Lanka have never beaten England at the Lord's. The two teams have played 7 tests against each other on this ground, of which 5 have resulted in draws and 2 have gone to England. Aside from the advantage of playing at home, the hosts have been doing really well in the longer format, both at home as well as overseas. Also, with Anderson and Broad on top of their game, England will be hard to beat in English conditions.

Sri Lanka have been struggling post the retirement of legends like Sangakkara and Jayawardene. Though they have been beaten convincingly in the first two tests, they will have a few positives to draw, especially after their good work with the bat in the last match. 

A Sri Lankan victory will be the least likely outcome. However, if their batsmen manage to bat well in both the innings, they might succeed in saving the match. So there is the possibility of a draw, but only just. Nevertheless, we are backing England here for a 3-0 whitewash.

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