AUS vs SA 4th ODI Preview & Prediction
Jun 11, 2016
22:30 IST / 17:00 GMT
Providence Stadium - Providence, Guyana
AUS
RSA
AUS vs RSA Betting Tips
- South Africa's bowling is looking sharp with Rabada, Tahir and Phangiso all in top form.
- Although it came a long time back, but Australia do have a win over South Africa in an ODI at this ground.
- South Africa's recent victory over Australia will make them more confident ahead of this match.
AUS vs RSA Win Probability
The "Chance of Winning" Widget shows winning percentage depending upon live betting odds of teams participating in the match. The winning percentage is changed immediately when odds are updated.
Our Prediction
South Africa are favourites to win
South Africa were clinical in their approach on Tuesday as they beat Australia by 47 runs to earn a bonus-point win. Earlier, Australia had thrashed hosts West Indies to win by a bonus point while South Africa had lost to the same by 4 wickets. Now, the titans will clash again on June 11 at the Warner Park in St Kitts. This will be the fourth match of the tri-series where the Aussies will look to exact their revenge on the Proteas. The Australia vs South Africa 4th ODI is scheduled to begin at 1 PM local time.
Read on for our betting tips and match prediction on Australia vs South Africa Tri-series 2016 4th ODI.....
Venue and Toss
The last one-day international at this venue was played back in August 2014. Taking the last five ODIs into consideration, a score of 250 has been difficult to chase on this pitch. But given the tremendous batting strength of Australia and South Africa, a good first-innings total should be around 270-280.
Till date, there have been 14 ODIs at the Warner Park, of which 10 have been won by the side that has batted first. Furthermore, the last four ODIs have gone to side batting first. So the team that wins the toss here on Saturday will want to bat first.
South Africa have already gained a psychological advantage over Australia, and if they win the toss, their chances of winning the match will increase dramatically.
Australia Team News & Playing 11
If AUS Bat First
Predicted score: 260 and above
It was Warner who top-scored for Australia against the West Indies, and against South Africa, it was Finch. If the opening pair perform together, the Aussies should be heading towards a good score. Khawaja and Smith will have to click as Maxwell isn't showing any signs of returning to form. If the top four bat well and long, Australia should get to around 260.
Kagiso Rabada bowled an outstanding spell of 3 for 13 in seven overs in the last match against Australia. The speedster also bowled well to the Windies and he will be the biggest thorn in Australia's way. Parnell and Phangiso, who has taken 5 wickets so far, bowled well in tandem to disrupt the Australian Innings. Tahir has two wickets in each game and he could be hard to score off towards the end. If South Africa run through Australia's top-order quickly, they should restrict them below 260.
South Africa Team News & Playing 11
If SA Bat First
Predicted score: 270 and above
Behardien top-scored with 62 runs against Australia and with him amongst the runs, there will be less pressure on their top four. Amla, de Kock and de Villiers will be the main batsmen for South Africa and if these three get going, that score of 270 should be well within their reach. A little help from Duminy and Rossouw, who batted well against the hosts, might take them even beyond the predicted score.
Lyon and Zampa will be the major threat with the ball from Australia. The spin duo took three wickets apiece against the West Indies and the Proteas will be wary of them. Fast bowler Josh Hazlewood was the most impressive against South Africa as he picked up two wickets with an economy rate of just 2. Maxwell has also been effective with his off-breaks and if Australia manage to remove the openers and de Villiers cheaply, they could be chasing a target below 270.
Our Prediction
Australia are the current world champions in the 50-over format and they have a tendency to hit back hard after a defeat. The loss to South Africa could make them even more determined to win the next match. The two teams have played an ODI at this venue before in 2007 with Australia winning by 83 runs, a fact that should work in favor of the Aussies.
But the way South Africa bowled out Australia inside 35 overs for just 142, we feel that the former should be the favorites to win the fourth ODI on Saturday. But write off Australia at your own risk.
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